Saturday, 12 September 2015

GE2015: Poll Results


Hougang SMC: WP win (57.69%), PAP lost (42.31%)
Punggol East SMC: PAP win (51.76%), WP lost (48.24%)
Fengshan SMC: PAP win (57.52%), WP lost (42.48%)
Sengkang West SMC: PAP win (62.11%), WP lost (37.89%)
Macpherson SMC: PAP win (65.58%), WP lost (33.60%), NSP lost (0.82%)
Potong Pasir SMC: PAP win (66.41%), SPP lost (33.59%)
Bukit Panjang SMC: PAP win (68.38%), SDP lost (31.62%)
Mountbatten SMC: PAP win (71.84%), SPP lost (28.16%)
Bukit Batok SMC: PAP win (72.99%), SDP lost (26.4%), Independent lost (0.60%)
Yuhua SMC: PAP win (73.54), SDP lost (26.46%)
Hongkah-North SMC: PAP win (74.76%), SPP lost(25.24%)
Pioneer SMC: PAP win (76.34%), NSP lost (23.66%)
Radin Mas SMC: PAP win (77.25%), RP lost (12.71%), Independent lost (10.04%)

Aljunied GRC(5): WP win (50.95), PAP lost (49.05)
East Coast GRC(4): PAP win (60.73), WP lost (39.27%)
Marine Parade GRC(5): PAP win (64.07%), WP lost (35.93%)
Holland-Bukit Timah GRC(4): PAP win (66.62%), SDP lost (33.38%)
Nee Soon GRC(5): PAP win (66.83%), WP lost (33.17%)
Jalan Besar GRC(4): PAP win (67.73%), WP lost (32.27%)
Marsiling-Yew Tee GRC(4): PAP win (68.73%), SDP lost (31.27%)
Tampines GRC(5): PAP win (72.06%), NSP lost (27.94%)
Sembawang GRC(5): PAP win (72.28%), NSP lost (27.72%)
Pasir Ris-Punggol GRC(6): PAP win (72.89%), SDA lost (27.11%)
Bishan-Toa Payoh GRC(5): PAP win (73.59%), SPP lost (26.41%)
Chua Chu Kang GRC(4): PAP win (76.89%), PPP lost (23.11%)
Tanjong Pagar GRC(5): PAP win (77.71%), SFP lost (22.29%)
West Coast GRC(4): PAP win (78.57%), RP lost (21.43%)
Ang Mo Kio GRC(6): PAP win (78.63%), RP lost (21.37%)
Jurong GRC(5): PAP win (79.28%), SFP lost (20.72%)

“National Swing” Sees the PAP Return to Power with an Even Stronger Mandate
It’s 10 percentage points more than General Election 2011

In an election which saw the resurgence of Dr Chee Soon Juan and the SDP, more quality candidates from the WP and the opposition going in guns blazing in all constituencies for the first time ever, it was the PAP that came out tops. The party topped its GE 2011 performance by some 10 percentage points, winning 69.86 percent of the total votes – a rude shock for some and a pleasant surprise for others.

It also wrested back Punggol East SMC from the WP, and fended off strong advances from the SDP in Holland-Bukit Timah and the WP in East Coast.

With this result, the PAP holds 83 out of 89 seats in parliament, while the WP takes the remaining 6 places after winning in Hougang SMC and Aljunied GRC.

related:
8 Important Lessons We Must Learn from the Opposition Bloc’s Defeat in GE2015
Insights into What Prompted the 10-Point Swing Against the Opposition
Odd Noteworthy Questions About the Opposition Bloc that Need Examination
Opposition Leaders React to the Surprising “National Swing” in Votes

National Swing” Sees the PAP Return to Power with an Even Stronger Mandate
50.95 Percent: Close Call for WP’s A-Team Against the PAP’s “Suicide Squad”
Zorro Lim Knicks It: East Coast Defeat a Crushing Blow to WP’s Expansion Plans
“Over-the-Hill Uncle” Lucky Charles Snatches Back Punggol East for the PAP
PAP Candidates Prove Close to Unbeatable in a SMC Straight Fight

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The Opposition responds to GE2015 results

SWINGS against the opposition parties were significant this year, and most of their leaders were left shell-shocked in the immediate aftermath. Based on the constituencies these parties contested in, it was a -6.84 percentage points swing against the Workers’ Party (WP), a -5.54 swing against the Singapore Democratic Party (SDP), an -11.17 swing against the Reform Party (RP), and a -2.95 swing against the Singapore Democratic Alliance (SDA). The Singapore People’s Party (SPP) and the National Solidarity Party (NSP) experienced the biggest swings, with swings of -14.36 and -13.98 percentage points respectively.

The two new political parties – the People’s Power Party (PPP) and Singaporeans First (SingFirst) – won an average of 23.11 and 21.49 per cent of votes in their contested constituencies respectively.
“All this is a mandate for authoritarianism and brainwashing,” RP’s Kenneth Jeyaretnam said, when the sample counts for Ang Mo Kio GRC and West Coast GRC were released. Comparing these to similar margins in China and North Korea, he added that “Singaporeans get the government they deserve. I don’t want to hear any more complaints”.
This shock at the election results was echoed by the other parties too. “We have lost the battle, but not the war,” said PPP’s Goh Meng Seng, who attributed part of his team’s loss in Choa Chu Kang to perhaps not articulating well the party’s foreign labour policy. He also described the outcome as “the darkest day for Singapore’s democracy”. SingFirst’s Tan Jee Say said: “The results are not consistent with the feedback we’ve heard from the ground, and these results are even worse than what we had expected.”

related:
What started the landslide?
There goes the Protest votes

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10 things you need to know about GE2015 results

1. The People’s Action Party “won by a landslide”. It was given a “strong mandate”, benefited from a “national swing”. Take your pick of phrases. Its vote share is 69.86 per cent of valid votes. It took Punggol East SMC back from the Workers’ Party (WP) by 1,156 votes or 3.53 per cent.

2. The contest over Aljunied GRC went to the wire, with a recount which yielded a margin of just 2,612 votes in favour of the Workers’ Party (WP). The WP took 50.95 per cent of the vote, down from 54.72 per cent in GE2011.

3. The Opposition politicians looked like they did not know what had hit them. Speculation that wards such as East Coast GRC and Fengshan SMC would fall into WP hands remained speculation.

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PAP swept all 83 seats with increased support

The ruling party PAP government was brought back to government today (Sep 12) sweeping 83 out 89 seats with a higher vote shift. The election result came as a surprise to Opposition candidates who felt that the ground was actually more bitter than the previous election.

Hotly-contested constituencies went to the PAP with huge margin winning by as much 66.62% in Holland-Bukit Timah GRC where the Singapore Democratic Party was expected to have a closer margin. Opposition ward, Punggol-East SMC, ended up in PAP’s hands with a win of 51.76%. Macpherson SMC went back to incumbent Tin Pei Ling at 65.58%, while Potong Pasir SMC went to the PAP candidate Sitoh Yih Pin with a greater margin at 66.41%.

Tanjong Pagar GRC which was never contested before won 77.71% in the absence of former Prime Minister Lee Kuan Yew. Only Hougang SMC and Aljunied GRC (50.95%) are retained by the Workers’ Party while all other Opposition parties are voted out.

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Pundits ponder GE2015 results

THE electorate surprised pundits, including the politicians, by handing the People’s Action Party such a strong win of nearly 70 per cent, up from 60 per cent just four years ago. Analysts previously caught flat footed have now recovered sufficiently to opine with the benefit of hindsight. Here’s a selection of thoughts circulating as of Sunday, September 13.


1. Alex Au, yawning bread
2. Cherian George, Air-Conditioned Nation
3. Vikram Khanna, The Business Times
4. Warren Fernandez, The Straits Times
5. Terry Xu, The Online Citizen
6. Foreign Media

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Beyond GE 2015: A Second Chance for Reform

On election night in May 2011 – which now seems an eternity ago – I cautioned that the opposition and its supporters shouldn’t get carried away by its stunning victory. Anyone who assumed that there was now an unstoppable momentum towards a two-party system might be overestimating the opposition, misunderstanding the electorate, and underestimating the PAP, I suggested.

This weekend, four years on, it may be time to bequeath the wet blanket to a jubilant People’s Action Party and its fans. This is not to deny the scale and clarity of Friday’s result. The only things that rang hollow about the victory were PAP candidates’ programmed intonations that they felt “humbled” by it: in their mind’s eye, each was probably performing an exultant goalscorer’s medley of chest-thumps, knee-slides, badge-kisses and heaven-pointing.

And who can blame them.

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Tharman Shanmugaratnam’s Jurong GRC team outdid Lee Hsien Loong’s Ang Mo Kio GRC team for best result

As the PAP secures a clearly strong win this GE2015, the most outstanding performance goes to Tharman Shanmugaratnam’s Jurong GRC team.

In terms of percentage of votes won, his team outdid Lee Hsien Loong’s Ang Mo Kio GRC team.

Here are the results of the top five best-performing GRCs:

Jurong GRC
PAP: 95,080 (79.28 percent)
SingFirst: 24,848 (20.72 percent)
Total: 119,928

Ang Mo Kio
PAP: 135,115 (78.63 percent)
Reform Party: 36, 711 (21.37 percent)
Total: 171,836

West Coast GRC
PAP: 71,091 (78.57 percent)
Reform Party: 19,392 (21.43 percent)

Tanjong Pagar GRC
PAP: 90,448 (77.71 percent)
SingFirst: 25,943 (22.29 percent)

Chua Chu Kang GRC
PAP: 84,731 (76.89 percent)
People’s Power Party: 25,460

related: DPM Tharman’s rally speech is the only reason why ppl still have hope in PAP

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Strong opposition good for party and country
Tharman recognised the benefits of a “strong opposition”

“Finance Minister Tharman Shanmugaratnam, who is also the People’s Action Party’s (PAP) treasurer, said that strong opposition is good for both PAP and Singapore during a multi-party forum televised on Channel News Asia,” the Straits Times reported him as having said.

His remarks drew approval from the leader of the WP, Low Thia Khiang. “I think that shows quite a shift in the PAP’s mindset,” Mr Low said, “that they now see that a strong opposition is positive and good for the future of Singapore.”

Has the PAP changed its position as espoused by Mr Tharman? One cannot be sure.

read more

related:
GE2015: Taking victory in Humility
GE2015: Going Forward
GE2015: Foreign Media
GE2015: 2011 Vs 2015
GE2015: A Humbling Mandate
GE2015: Poll Results
GE2015: Pollling Day
GE2015: Cooling-Off Day
GE 2015: Rallies Round-up & Trolls
GE2015: Hungry Ghost & Optimus Prime
GE2015: One Stone Kill Two Birds, Heng Ah!
GE2015: Nomads, Roosters & "Bits Of Meat"
GE2015: Snapshots
GE2015: Mouse In The House
GE2015: In Parliament, Numbers Count
GE2015: The Game Is On
GE2015: Who's Where
GE2015: Nomination Day